PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

CRB 2–0 Ceará · Serie B

CRB

WWLWL
2–0Historical match

Ceará

WWLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 2–0.

Shots
817
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.191.32
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ceará 2–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Ceará): shots 8–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.19–1.32, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsCRB 8 shots, Ceará 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCRB 4 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG1.32 xGCRB 1.19 xG, Ceará 1.32 xG
  • Possession52%48%CRB 52%, Ceará 48%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersCRB 5 corners, Ceará 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsCRB 13 fouls, Ceará 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CRB
0Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — CRB · Serie B1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB31 matchesCeará31 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.03 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.13 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.24 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.19 shots/match
50.5%Possession31/31● 52.8%
4.23 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.42 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3116.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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