PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Guarani 3–0 Tombense · Serie B

Guarani

LWDWW
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 3–0.

Shots
237
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
1.960.33
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat Tombense 3–0. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Tombense): shots 23–7, shots on target 11–3, expected goals 1.96–0.33, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tombense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tombense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible home split

moderate

Guarani's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots7 shotsGuarani 23 shots, Tombense 7 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots3 shotsGuarani 11 shots, Tombense 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.33 xGGuarani 1.96 xG, Tombense 0.33 xG
  • Possession53%47%Guarani 53%, Tombense 47%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersGuarani 10 corners, Tombense 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsGuarani 13 fouls, Tombense 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Guarani
1Draws
0Tombense
Tombense — Guarani · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani28 matchesTombense28 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.07 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.46 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.36 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.41 shots/match
49.7%Possession27/27● 51%
4.78 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniTombense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required