PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vitória 3–0 Avaí · Serie B

3–0Historical match

Avaí

WDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 3–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.340.48
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Avaí 3–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Avaí): shots 14–8, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.34–0.48, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória have a visible home split

moderate

Vitória's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsVitória 14 shots, Avaí 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsVitória 8 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.48 xGVitória 1.34 xG, Avaí 0.48 xG
  • Possession46%54%Vitória 46%, Avaí 54%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersVitória 4 corners, Avaí 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsVitória 10 fouls, Avaí 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
1Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — Vitória · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória28 matchesAvaí28 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.82 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.32 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.08 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.5 shots/match
3.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.19 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession27/2749.4%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners27/274.93 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2715.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 Sept 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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