PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ituano 0–2 Vitória · Serie B

Ituano

WWLLD
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 0–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.290.73
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Ituano 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Vitória): shots 19–10, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.29–0.73, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.41 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória have a visible away split

moderate

Vitória's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsItuano 19 shots, Vitória 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsItuano 6 shots, Vitória 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.29 xG0.73 xGItuano 1.29 xG, Vitória 0.73 xG
  • Possession53%47%Ituano 53%, Vitória 47%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersItuano 11 corners, Vitória 2 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls18 foulsItuano 23 fouls, Vitória 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
0Draws
1Vitória
Vitória — Ituano · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano29 matchesVitória29 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.86 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.33 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots28/2813.3 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target28/283.64 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession28/2850.2%
5.32 corners/match ●Corners28/284.93 corners/match
17.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoVitória
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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