Serie B · 2023

Ponte Preta 0–3 Mirassol · Serie B

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 0–3.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
310
Expected goals
0.372.85
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Ponte Preta 3–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Mirassol): shots 10–16, shots on target 3–10, expected goals 0.37–2.85, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.59 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ponte Preta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ponte Preta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsPonte Preta · Mirassol13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPonte PretaMirassolBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Mirassol have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%PossessionPonte Preta · Mirassol● 58.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPonte PretaMirassolBaseline
Possession45.5%58.1%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsPonte Preta 10 shots, Mirassol 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots10 shotsPonte Preta 3 shots, Mirassol 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.37 xG2.85 xGPonte Preta 0.37 xG, Mirassol 2.85 xG
  • Possession53%47%Ponte Preta 53%, Mirassol 47%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersPonte Preta 4 corners, Mirassol 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsPonte Preta 11 fouls, Mirassol 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
1Mirassol
Mirassol — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta29 matchesMirassol29 matches
0.59 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.03 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed29/290.9 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.39 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.46 shots/match
45.5%Possession28/28● 58.1%
3.79 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.96 corners/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2816.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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