Serie B · 2023

Sampaio Correa 2–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sampaio Correa won 2–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.070.84
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sampaio Corrêa beat Vila Nova FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sampaio Corrêa – Vila Nova FC): shots 14–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.07–0.84, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sampaio Corrêa.

3.19 days ▲Rest daysSampaio Corrêa · Vila Nova FC4.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSampaio CorrêaVila Nova FCBaseline
Rest days3.19 days4.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible home split

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsSampaio Correa 14 shots, Vila Nova FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSampaio Correa 5 shots, Vila Nova FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.84 xGSampaio Correa 1.07 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.84 xG
  • Possession55%45%Sampaio Correa 55%, Vila Nova FC 45%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersSampaio Correa 6 corners, Vila Nova FC 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsSampaio Correa 7 fouls, Vila Nova FC 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sampaio Correa
0Draws
1Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Sampaio Correa · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sampaio Correa favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sampaio Correa29 matchesVila Nova FC29 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.66 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals27/28▲ 1.45 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots27/28▲ 17 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target27/28▲ 5.11 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession27/2848.4%
4.63 corners/matchCorners27/28● 5.57 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls27/2815 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 Sept 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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