PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Independiente Medellín vs Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.52
Expected goals
1.281.12
Shots
14.612.8
Possession
53.5%47.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: independiente Medellín's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Independiente Medellín show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independiente Medellín's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Medellín · Independiente Santa Fe12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente MedellínIndependiente Santa FeBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Medellín favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 2 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Medellín27 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe31 matches
1.52 goals/matchGoals scored27/311.52 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed27/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/281.12 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/3112.8 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target27/314.77 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession27/3147.1%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners27/314.71 corners/match
4.1 cards/matchCards10/83.63 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls27/3110.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Independiente Medellín
0Draws
1Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe — Independiente Medellín · Primera A2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 01:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente MedellínIndependiente Santa Fe
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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