Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.781.52
Expected goals
0.771.12
Shots
9.0412.8
Possession
44.4%47.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: independiente Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Deportivo Pereira's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Santa Fe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.04 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pereira · Independiente Santa Fe12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraIndependiente Santa FeBaseline
Shots9.04 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Deportivo Pereira have a visible home split

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match9.04 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira27 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe31 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored27/31▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed27/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals23/28▲ 1.12 xG/match
9.04 shots/matchShots27/31▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target27/31▲ 4.77 shots/match
44.4%Possession27/31● 47.1%
2.52 corners/matchCorners27/31● 4.71 corners/match
3.29 cards/matchCards7/83.63 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls27/3110.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pereira
1Draws
0Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe — Deportivo Pereira · Primera A2–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness18 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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