PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Akhmat Grozny 1–2 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh won 1–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.110.91
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh beat Akhmat Grozny 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Fakel Voronezh): shots 19–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.11–0.91, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsAkhmat Grozny 19 shots, Fakel Voronezh 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Fakel Voronezh 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.91 xGAkhmat Grozny 1.11 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.91 xG
  • Possession59%41%Akhmat Grozny 59%, Fakel Voronezh 41%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersAkhmat Grozny 7 corners, Fakel Voronezh 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsAkhmat Grozny 13 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
1Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–1
Akhmat Grozny — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny14 matchesFakel Voronezh14 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.34 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.5 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.64 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession14/1443.8%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — Fakel Voronezh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required