PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 2–1 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 2–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.771.08
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Akhmat Grozny 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Akhmat Grozny): shots 14–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.77–1.08, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.2% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Akhmat Grozny46.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Possession63.2%46.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Akhmat Grozny show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Akhmat Grozny's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Akhmat Grozny13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.62 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 14 shots, Akhmat Grozny 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 3 shots, Akhmat Grozny 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG1.08 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.77 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.08 xG
  • Possession66%34%Zenit St. Petersburg 66%, Akhmat Grozny 34%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 5 corners, Akhmat Grozny 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 8 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Zenit St. Petersburg
1Draws
1Akhmat Grozny
Zenit St. Petersburg — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–2
Akhmat Grozny — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg13 matchesAkhmat Grozny13 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.72 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots13/1313.5 shots/match
4.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.77 shots/match
63.2% ●Possession13/1346.5%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners13/134.23 corners/match
9.08 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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