PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 3–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 3–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.840.41
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 19–6, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.84–0.41, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Krylya Sovetov Samara11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

63% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Krylya Sovetov Samara46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Possession63%46.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 19 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotZenit St. Petersburg 6 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.41 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.84 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 0.41 xG
  • Possession59%41%Zenit St. Petersburg 59%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 41%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 5 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 10 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–5
Zenit St. Petersburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg12 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara12 matches
2.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/122.17 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.69 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/1211.1 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5 shots/match
63% ●Possession12/1246.9%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners12/124.58 corners/match
9.17 fouls/matchFouls12/129.58 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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