PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Fakel Voronezh 1–1 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and CSKA Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.760.66
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and CSKA Moscow drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – CSKA Moscow): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.76–0.66, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsFakel Voronezh 16 shots, CSKA Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsFakel Voronezh 6 shots, CSKA Moscow 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG0.66 xGFakel Voronezh 1.76 xG, CSKA Moscow 0.66 xG
  • Possession61%39%Fakel Voronezh 61%, CSKA Moscow 39%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFakel Voronezh 8 corners, CSKA Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsFakel Voronezh 11 fouls, CSKA Moscow 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
0Draws
2CSKA Moscow
Fakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–2
CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh15 matchesCSKA Moscow15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.33 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals15/14▲ 1.48 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots15/1511.5 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.4 shots/match
44.9%Possession15/15● 48.9%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners15/154.2 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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