PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 2–1 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 2–1.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
3.221.75
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Akhmat Grozny 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Akhmat Grozny): shots 15–15, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 3.22–1.75, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 15 shots, Akhmat Grozny 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 5 shots, Akhmat Grozny 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.22 xG1.75 xGLokomotiv Moscow 3.22 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.75 xG
  • Possession64%36%Lokomotiv Moscow 64%, Akhmat Grozny 36%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 6 corners, Akhmat Grozny 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 15 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
1Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow15 matchesAkhmat Grozny15 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.4 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.68 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots15/1514 shots/match
4.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.87 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession15/1546.7%
6.07 corners/match ●Corners15/154.33 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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