PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–1 Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 3–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
4.590.93
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat Ural Yekaterinburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Ural Yekaterinburg): shots 18–11, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 4.59–0.93, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.07 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ural Yekaterinburg have a visible away split

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 18 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals4.59 xG0.93 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 4.59 xG, Ural Yekaterinburg 0.93 xG
  • Possession54%46%Krylya Sovetov Samara 54%, Ural Yekaterinburg 46%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 6 corners, Ural Yekaterinburg 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 17 fouls, Ural Yekaterinburg 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
1Ural Yekaterinburg
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League3–0
Ural Yekaterinburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ural Yekaterinburg in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara15 matchesUral Yekaterinburg15 matches
2.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.49 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.1 shots/match
5.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession15/1544.9%
4.8 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.53 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraUral Yekaterinburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Ural Yekaterinburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required