PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Ural Yekaterinburg 0–1 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 0–1.

Shots
216
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.321.1
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Ural Yekaterinburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ural Yekaterinburg – Rubin Kazan): shots 21–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.32–1.1, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ural Yekaterinburg have a visible home split

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots6 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 21 shots, Rubin Kazan 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 7 shots, Rubin Kazan 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.1 xGUral Yekaterinburg 1.32 xG, Rubin Kazan 1.1 xG
  • Possession67%33%Ural Yekaterinburg 67%, Rubin Kazan 33%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersUral Yekaterinburg 8 corners, Rubin Kazan 3 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls14 foulsUral Yekaterinburg 4 fouls, Rubin Kazan 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ural Yekaterinburg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ural Yekaterinburg14 matchesRubin Kazan14 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.43 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.48 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots14/1412.7 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target14/144.14 shots/match
44.8%Possession14/14● 45.9%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners14/144.71 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Nov 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUral YekaterinburgRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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