PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Sochi 0–2 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 0–2.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.921.7
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat FC Sochi 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Sochi – Rubin Kazan): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.92–1.7, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Sochi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Sochi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsFC Sochi · Rubin Kazan13.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC SochiRubin KazanBaseline
Fouls14.2 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsFC Sochi 10 shots, Rubin Kazan 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsFC Sochi 4 shots, Rubin Kazan 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.7 xGFC Sochi 0.92 xG, Rubin Kazan 1.7 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC Sochi 54%, Rubin Kazan 46%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersFC Sochi 6 corners, Rubin Kazan 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls6 foulsFC Sochi 16 fouls, Rubin Kazan 6 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Sochi favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Sochi15 matchesRubin Kazan15 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals14/151.5 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots14/15▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target14/154.13 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession14/1545.9%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/15● 4.87 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1513.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SochiRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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