PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Sochi 3–3 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Sochi and Dynamo Moscow drew 3–3.

Shots
2118
Shots on target
108
Expected goals
4.142.41
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Sochi and Dynamo Moscow drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (FC Sochi – Dynamo Moscow): shots 21–18, shots on target 10–8, expected goals 4.14–2.41, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots18 shotsFC Sochi 21 shots, Dynamo Moscow 18 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots8 shotsFC Sochi 10 shots, Dynamo Moscow 8 shots
  • Expected goals4.14 xG2.41 xGFC Sochi 4.14 xG, Dynamo Moscow 2.41 xG
  • Possession49%51%FC Sochi 49%, Dynamo Moscow 51%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersFC Sochi 5 corners, Dynamo Moscow 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls7 foulsFC Sochi 18 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Sochi
0Draws
0Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — FC Sochi · Premier League0–2
FC Sochi — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Sochi favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Sochi14 matchesDynamo Moscow14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲ 1.69 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 5.14 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession13/1449.4%
4.31 corners/matchCorners13/14● 5.57 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1411.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Nov 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SochiDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Sochi — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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