PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Akhmat Grozny 0–2 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 0–2.

Shots
620
Shots on target
08
Expected goals
0.372.57
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Akhmat Grozny 2–0. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 6–20, shots on target 0–8, expected goals 0.37–2.57, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots20 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 20 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots8 shotsAkhmat Grozny 0 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.37 xG2.57 xGAkhmat Grozny 0.37 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 2.57 xG
  • Possession33%67%Akhmat Grozny 33%, Lokomotiv Moscow 67%
  • Corners0 corners11 cornersAkhmat Grozny 0 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 11 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsAkhmat Grozny 12 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
2Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–1
Akhmat Grozny — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny22 matchesLokomotiv Moscow22 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.27 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.6 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots22/2213 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.5 shots/match
45%Possession22/22● 51.2%
4.18 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.73 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headAkhmat Grozny — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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