PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 4–1 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 4–1.

Shots
236
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.640.38
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Fakel Voronezh 4–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Fakel Voronezh): shots 23–6, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.64–0.38, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fakel Voronezh have a visible away split

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots6 shotsCSKA Moscow 23 shots, Fakel Voronezh 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotCSKA Moscow 8 shots, Fakel Voronezh 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.64 xG0.38 xGCSKA Moscow 2.64 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.38 xG
  • Possession50%50%CSKA Moscow 50%, Fakel Voronezh 50%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersCSKA Moscow 9 corners, Fakel Voronezh 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsCSKA Moscow 14 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1
Fakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–2
CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow22 matchesFakel Voronezh22 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.86 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/211.24 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.7 shots/match
4.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.14 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession22/2245.7%
4.41 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.95 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Apr 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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