PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 3–3 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moscow drew 3–3.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.242.23
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moscow drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – CSKA Moscow): shots 17–16, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.24–2.23, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.87 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 17 shots, CSKA Moscow 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 5 shots, CSKA Moscow 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG2.23 xGLokomotiv Moscow 1.24 xG, CSKA Moscow 2.23 xG
  • Possession55%45%Lokomotiv Moscow 55%, CSKA Moscow 45%
  • Corners9 corners9 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 9 corners, CSKA Moscow 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 9 fouls, CSKA Moscow 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
2CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League4–1
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 4 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow23 matchesCSKA Moscow23 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.87 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals23/211.58 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots23/2313.1 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.09 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession23/2348.3%
5.87 corners/match ●Corners23/234.61 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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