PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FK Krasnodar 1–2 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 1–2.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.751.3
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat FK Krasnodar 2–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 11–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.75–1.3, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FK Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFK Krasnodar · Zenit St. Petersburg13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match8.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.5%PossessionFK Krasnodar · Zenit St. Petersburg● 63.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession54.5%63.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsFK Krasnodar 11 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsFK Krasnodar 4 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.3 xGFK Krasnodar 0.75 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.3 xG
  • Possession46%54%FK Krasnodar 46%, Zenit St. Petersburg 54%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerFK Krasnodar 4 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 1 corner
  • Fouls24 fouls11 foulsFK Krasnodar 24 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FK Krasnodar
2Draws
1Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Krasnodar · Premier League2–2
FK Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar23 matchesZenit St. Petersburg23 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.87 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals20/221.67 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots23/2313 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.74 shots/match
54.5%Possession23/23● 63.1%
5.17 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.57 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls23/238.87 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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