PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FK Krasnodar 2–0 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 2–0.

Shots
205
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.610.29
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Fakel Voronezh 2–0. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Fakel Voronezh): shots 20–5, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.61–0.29, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fakel Voronezh have a visible away split

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.69 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.69 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFK Krasnodar · Fakel Voronezh10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarFakel VoronezhBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 20 shots, Fakel Voronezh 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotFK Krasnodar 7 shots, Fakel Voronezh 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.61 xG0.29 xGFK Krasnodar 2.61 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.29 xG
  • Possession70%30%FK Krasnodar 70%, Fakel Voronezh 30%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerFK Krasnodar 4 corners, Fakel Voronezh 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls20 foulsFK Krasnodar 8 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FK Krasnodar
3Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0
Fakel Voronezh — FK Krasnodar · Premier League3–3
FK Krasnodar — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar24 matchesFakel Voronezh24 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.79 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.13 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/231.16 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2410.3 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/242.96 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession24/2444.8%
5.13 corners/match ●Corners24/244.71 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Fakel Voronezh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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