PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Rubin Kazan 1–1 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.381.44
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 15–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.38–1.44, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsRubin Kazan 15 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsRubin Kazan 4 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG1.44 xGRubin Kazan 2.38 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.44 xG
  • Possession40%60%Rubin Kazan 40%, Lokomotiv Moscow 60%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersRubin Kazan 5 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsRubin Kazan 9 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rubin Kazan
1Draws
0Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan24 matchesLokomotiv Moscow24 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals23/24▲ 1.58 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4.5 shots/match
46.8%Possession24/24● 51.7%
4.63 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.75 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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