PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 0–2 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 0–2.

Shots
248
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
2.130.97
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Zenit St. Petersburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Rubin Kazan): shots 24–8, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 2.13–0.97, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.76 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Zenit St. Petersburg.

3.18 days ▲Rest daysZenit St. Petersburg · Rubin Kazan4.27 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricZenit St. PetersburgRubin KazanBaseline
Rest days3.18 days4.27 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Rubin Kazan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rubin Kazan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Rubin Kazan12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgRubin KazanBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.76 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots8 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 24 shots, Rubin Kazan 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 10 shots, Rubin Kazan 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.13 xG0.97 xGZenit St. Petersburg 2.13 xG, Rubin Kazan 0.97 xG
  • Possession71%29%Zenit St. Petersburg 71%, Rubin Kazan 29%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 7 corners, Rubin Kazan 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 7 fouls, Rubin Kazan 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg25 matchesRubin Kazan25 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.92 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.2 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.35 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.1 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.04 shots/match
63.4% ●Possession25/2546.1%
6.44 corners/match ●Corners25/254.6 corners/match
8.72 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 24 Apr 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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