PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 1–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–2.

Shots
813
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.990.83
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat CSKA Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Akhmat Grozny): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.99–0.83, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsCSKA Moscow 8 shots, Akhmat Grozny 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsCSKA Moscow 2 shots, Akhmat Grozny 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.83 xGCSKA Moscow 0.99 xG, Akhmat Grozny 0.83 xG
  • Possession53%47%CSKA Moscow 53%, Akhmat Grozny 47%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCSKA Moscow 3 corners, Akhmat Grozny 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsCSKA Moscow 13 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CSKA Moscow
0Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–3
Akhmat Grozny — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–3
CSKA Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow24 matchesAkhmat Grozny24 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.96 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.54 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/241.47 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots24/2413.3 shots/match
4.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.67 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession24/2445.4%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners24/244.29 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Akhmat Grozny
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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