PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Akhmat Grozny 1–7 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League

1–7Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Baltika Kaliningrad won 1–7.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
2.023.39
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Baltika Kaliningrad beat Akhmat Grozny 7–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Baltika Kaliningrad): shots 20–12, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 2.02–3.39, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika Kaliningrad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Baltika Kaliningrad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsAkhmat Grozny 20 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG3.39 xGAkhmat Grozny 2.02 xG, Baltika Kaliningrad 3.39 xG
  • Possession54%46%Akhmat Grozny 54%, Baltika Kaliningrad 46%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersAkhmat Grozny 7 corners, Baltika Kaliningrad 5 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls6 foulsAkhmat Grozny 3 fouls, Baltika Kaliningrad 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
1Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny23 matchesBaltika Kaliningrad23 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored23/230.91 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.2 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots23/2310.9 shots/match
3.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.43 shots/match
45.3%Possession23/23● 45.7%
4.3 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.65 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyBaltika Kaliningrad
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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