PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SV Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 3–2.

Shots
206
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
2.090.95
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – FC Augsburg): shots 20–6, shots on target 11–4, expected goals 2.09–0.95, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

SV Werder Bremen have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8% ●PossessionSV Werder Bremen · FC Augsburg39.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession48.8%39.5%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsSV Werder Bremen 20 shots, FC Augsburg 6 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 11 shots, FC Augsburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG0.95 xGSV Werder Bremen 2.09 xG, FC Augsburg 0.95 xG
  • Possession66%34%SV Werder Bremen 66%, FC Augsburg 34%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersSV Werder Bremen 2 corners, FC Augsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsSV Werder Bremen 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSV Werder Bremen 2 cards, FC Augsburg 2 cards
  • Passes682 passes356 passesSV Werder Bremen 682 passes, FC Augsburg 356 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.8%72.8%SV Werder Bremen 87.8%, FC Augsburg 72.8%
  • Shots inside box16 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 16 shots, FC Augsburg 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockSV Werder Bremen 3 blocks, FC Augsburg 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesSV Werder Bremen 2 saves, FC Augsburg 7 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideSV Werder Bremen 2 offsides, FC Augsburg 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Han-Noah MassengoYellow card · FC Augsburg
  2. 18′Robin FellhauerGoal · FC Augsburg
  3. 27′ArthurYellow card · SV Werder Bremen
  4. Half-time
  5. 58′Calvin BrackelmannGoal · FC Augsburg
  6. 60′Marco GrüllYellow card · SV Werder Bremen
  7. 66′Marco GrüllGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  8. 77′Hennes BehrensYellow card · FC Augsburg
  9. 86′Niclas FüllkrugGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  10. 90′Mitchell WeiserGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  11. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 52′FC Augsburg · 1 player changeYannik Keitel
  • 53′FC Augsburg · 2 player changesAlexis Claude-Maurice · Rodrigo Ribeiro
  • 68′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeMitchell Weiser
  • 74′FC Augsburg · 1 player changeYoung-woo Seol
  • 78′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeSalim Musah
  • 79′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeOskar Wójcik
  • 83′FC Augsburg · 1 player changeJeffrey Gouweleeuw
  • 90′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeMick Schmetgens

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

SV Werder Bremen4-2-3-1
  1. Karl HeinG
  2. Olivier DemanD
  3. Amos PieperD
  4. ArthurD
  5. Marco FriedlD
  6. Ludovit ReisM
  7. ChukiM
  8. Youri RegeerM
  9. Niclas FüllkrugF
  10. Marco GrüllF
  11. Eren DinkçiF
FC Augsburg3-4-2-1
  1. Finn DahmenG
  2. Calvin BrackelmannD
  3. Chrislain MatsimaD
  4. Hennes BehrensD
  5. Marius WolfD
  6. Noahkai BanksD
  7. Han-Noah MassengoM
  8. Fabian RiederM
  9. Michael GregoritschF
  10. Robin FellhauerF
  11. Arijon IbrahimovićF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
2Draws
2FC Augsburg
SV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–3
FC Augsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–0
SV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–2
FC Augsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen4 matchesFC Augsburg4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.75 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.71 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/413.8 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 7.25 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession4/439.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.75 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/48.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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