PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2.

Shots
830
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.092.42
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 8–30, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.09–2.42, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · Bayer 04 Leverkusen24 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match24 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against21 shots/match8 shots/match17.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.3%PossessionFC Augsburg · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 64.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession41.3%64.7%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots30 shotsFC Augsburg 8 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 30 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG2.42 xGFC Augsburg 1.09 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.42 xG
  • Possession37%63%FC Augsburg 37%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 63%
  • Corners2 corners14 cornersFC Augsburg 2 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsFC Augsburg 6 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardFC Augsburg 1 card, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 card
  • Passes348 passes594 passesFC Augsburg 348 passes, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 594 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.6%88.2%FC Augsburg 79.6%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 88.2%
  • Shots inside box5 shots21 shotsFC Augsburg 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 21 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block12 blocksFC Augsburg 1 block, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesFC Augsburg 3 saves, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideFC Augsburg 0 offsides, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 18′Christian KofaneGoal · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  2. 38′Noahkai BanksYellow card · FC Augsburg
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Michael GregoritschGoal · FC Augsburg
  5. 55′Michael GregoritschGoal · FC Augsburg
  6. 72′Guéla DouéYellow card · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  7. 89′Patrik SchickGoal · Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 58′FC Augsburg · 1 player changeAlexis Claude-Maurice
  • 63′Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 2 player changesGuéla Doué · Patrik Schick
  • 76′Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 2 player changesMartin Terrier · Malik Tillman
  • 77′FC Augsburg · 2 player changesMert Kömür · Young-woo Seol
  • 85′FC Augsburg · 2 player changesYannik Keitel · Rodrigo Ribeiro
  • 85′Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 1 player changeLucas Vázquez

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Augsburg3-4-2-1
  1. Finn DahmenG
  2. Calvin BrackelmannD
  3. Chrislain MatsimaD
  4. Hennes BehrensD
  5. Marius WolfD
  6. Noahkai BanksD
  7. Han-Noah MassengoM
  8. Fabian RiederM
  9. Michael GregoritschF
  10. Robin FellhauerF
  11. Arijon IbrahimovićF
Bayer 04 Leverkusen4-2-3-1
  1. Mark FlekkenG
  2. Facundo MedinaD
  3. Miguel GutiérrezD
  4. Jarell QuansahD
  5. Edmond TapsobaD
  6. Ezequiel FernándezM
  7. Malik TillmanM
  8. Aleix GarcíaM
  9. Patrik SchickF
  10. Moussa DiabyF
  11. Ibrahim MazaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
0Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–2
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–0
FC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg3 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen3 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
1.97 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.44 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 24 shots/match
8.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/36.33 shots/match
41.3%Possession3/3● 64.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 9.33 corners/match
8 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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