PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
80
Expected goals
1.680.42
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat SC Paderborn 07 3–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – SC Paderborn 07): shots 14–10, shots on target 8–0, expected goals 1.68–0.42, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Paderborn 07 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Paderborn 07's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · SC Paderborn 0711.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07Baseline
Shots15 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match17.3 shots/match17.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsBorussia Dortmund 14 shots, SC Paderborn 07 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots0 shotsBorussia Dortmund 8 shots, SC Paderborn 07 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.42 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.68 xG, SC Paderborn 07 0.42 xG
  • Possession55%45%Borussia Dortmund 55%, SC Paderborn 07 45%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 7 corners, SC Paderborn 07 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsBorussia Dortmund 11 fouls, SC Paderborn 07 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardBorussia Dortmund 1 card, SC Paderborn 07 1 card
  • Passes556 passes460 passesBorussia Dortmund 556 passes, SC Paderborn 07 460 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.6%82.6%Borussia Dortmund 83.6%, SC Paderborn 07 82.6%
  • Shots inside box10 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 10 shots, SC Paderborn 07 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksBorussia Dortmund 3 blocks, SC Paderborn 07 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesBorussia Dortmund 0 saves, SC Paderborn 07 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesBorussia Dortmund 3 offsides, SC Paderborn 07 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Fábio SilvaGoal · Borussia Dortmund
  2. 39′Laurin UlrichYellow card · SC Paderborn 07
  3. Half-time
  4. 66′Jobe BellinghamYellow card · Borussia Dortmund
  5. 80′Felix NmechaGoal · Borussia Dortmund
  6. 89′Felix NmechaGoal · Borussia Dortmund
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Borussia Dortmund · 3 player changesCarney Chukwuemeka · Marcel Sabitzer · Felix Nmecha
  • 67′SC Paderborn 07 · 3 player changesSteffen Tigges · Oliver Batista Meier · Clemens Lippmann
  • 77′Borussia Dortmund · 2 player changesMaximilian Beier · Ramy Bensebaini
  • 77′SC Paderborn 07 · 1 player changeLuka Duric
  • 82′SC Paderborn 07 · 1 player changeRayan Philippe

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1
  1. Gregor KobelG
  2. Waldemar AntonD
  3. Ramy BensebainiD
  4. Joane GadouD
  5. Daniel SvenssonD
  6. Julian RyersonD
  7. Jobe BellinghamM
  8. Joey VeermanM
  9. Serhou GuirassyF
  10. Ethan NwaneriF
  11. Fábio SilvaF
SC Paderborn 073-5-2
  1. Nahuel NollG
  2. Laurin CurdaD
  3. Jano Ter-HorstD
  4. Mattes HansenD
  5. Raphael ObermairD
  6. Tjark Lasse SchellerD
  7. Santiago CastañedaM
  8. Laurin UlrichM
  9. Gabriel VidovićM
  10. Rayan PhilippeF
  11. Marvin PieringerF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Paderborn 07 in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund3 matchesSC Paderborn 073 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.63 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31 shot/match
50.3%Possession3/3● 51%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/33.33 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required