PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2026

Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal · UEFA Champions League

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–2.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.831.34
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 3–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal): shots 18–13, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.83–1.34, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsBorussia Dortmund 18 shots, Villarreal 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 6 shots, Villarreal 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.83 xG1.34 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.83 xG, Villarreal 1.34 xG
  • Possession52%48%Borussia Dortmund 52%, Villarreal 48%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersBorussia Dortmund 9 corners, Villarreal 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsBorussia Dortmund 15 fouls, Villarreal 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsBorussia Dortmund 1 card, Villarreal 3 cards
  • Passes514 passes481 passesBorussia Dortmund 514 passes, Villarreal 481 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.7%85.9%Borussia Dortmund 89.7%, Villarreal 85.9%
  • Shots inside box12 shots9 shotsBorussia Dortmund 12 shots, Villarreal 9 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksBorussia Dortmund 7 blocks, Villarreal 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesBorussia Dortmund 5 saves, Villarreal 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesBorussia Dortmund 1 offside, Villarreal 3 offsides

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1
  1. Gregor KobelG
  2. Waldemar AntonD
  3. Maximilian BeierD
  4. Joane GadouD
  5. Daniel SvenssonD
  6. Julian RyersonD
  7. Jobe BellinghamM
  8. Joey VeermanM
  9. Serhou GuirassyF
  10. Ethan NwaneriF
  11. Konstantinos KaretsasF
Villarreal4-4-2
  1. Luiz JúniorG
  2. Logan CostaD
  3. Renato VeigaD
  4. Santiago MouriñoD
  5. Sergi CardonaD
  6. Santi ComesañaM
  7. Tajon BuchananM
  8. Pape GueyeM
  9. Nicolas PépéM
  10. Gerard MorenoF
  11. Georges MikautadzeF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
0Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund — Villarreal · UEFA Champions League4–0

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Borussia Dortmund1 matches
  • Villarreal1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Borussia Dortmund

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
10 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.2 goals/match
  • Goals allowed2.1 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.63 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.4 xG/match
  • Shots11 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.2 shots/match
  • Possession53.5%
  • Corners4.1 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.2 corners/match
  • Fouls11.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency20%
  • Scoring frequency80%

Villarreal

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
8 matches
Profile grade
B
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.63 goals/match
  • Goals allowed2.25 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.21 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.56 xG/match
  • Shots13.6 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.75 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.63 shots/match
  • Possession42.4%
  • Corners3.38 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.38 corners/match
  • Fouls12.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency0%
  • Scoring frequency38%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia DortmundVillarreal
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this