PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Köln 1–1 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

1. FC Köln and SV Werder Bremen drew 1–1.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.610.95
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Köln and SV Werder Bremen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – SV Werder Bremen): shots 15–14, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.61–0.95, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Köln · SV Werder Bremen11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots17 shots/match11.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match17.7 shots/match17.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shots1. FC Köln 15 shots, SV Werder Bremen 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shots1. FC Köln 6 shots, SV Werder Bremen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG0.95 xG1. FC Köln 1.61 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.95 xG
  • Possession47%53%1. FC Köln 47%, SV Werder Bremen 53%
  • Corners8 corners5 corners1. FC Köln 8 corners, SV Werder Bremen 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 fouls1. FC Köln 11 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 card1. FC Köln 2 cards, SV Werder Bremen 1 card
  • Passes463 passes529 passes1. FC Köln 463 passes, SV Werder Bremen 529 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.7%87.2%1. FC Köln 84.7%, SV Werder Bremen 87.2%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shots1. FC Köln 9 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocks1. FC Köln 6 blocks, SV Werder Bremen 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 saves1. FC Köln 4 saves, SV Werder Bremen 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offside1. FC Köln 1 offside, SV Werder Bremen 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Thijs DallingaPenalty missed · 1. FC Köln
  2. 11′Linton MainaGoal · 1. FC Köln
  3. Half-time
  4. 69′Niclas FüllkrugGoal · SV Werder Bremen
  5. 72′Olivier DemanYellow card · SV Werder Bremen
  6. 86′Gideon MensahYellow card · 1. FC Köln
  7. 90′Paul Okon-EngstlerYellow card · 1. FC Köln
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 64′1. FC Köln · 1 player changeRagnar Ache
  • 65′1. FC Köln · 2 player changesSebastian Sebulonsen · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
  • 71′SV Werder Bremen · 1 player changeDariusz Stalmach
  • 74′1. FC Köln · 1 player changeSaid El Mala
  • 81′SV Werder Bremen · 2 player changesCédric Itten · Mick Schmetgens
  • 83′SV Werder Bremen · 2 player changesPaul Erevbenagie · Mitchell Weiser
  • 90′1. FC Köln · 1 player changePaul Okon-Engstler

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

1. FC Köln4-2-3-1
  1. Marvin SchwäbeG
  2. Gideon MensahD
  3. Alessio Castro-MontesD
  4. Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD
  5. Luka LochoshviliD
  6. Ellyes SkhiriM
  7. Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonM
  8. Mikey MooreM
  9. Thijs DallingaF
  10. Jan Uwe ThielmannF
  11. Linton MainaF
SV Werder Bremen4-2-3-1
  1. Karl HeinG
  2. Olivier DemanD
  3. Amos PieperD
  4. ArthurD
  5. Marco FriedlD
  6. Ludovit ReisM
  7. ChukiM
  8. Youri RegeerM
  9. Niclas FüllkrugF
  10. Marco GrüllF
  11. Eren DinkçiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Köln
2Draws
2SV Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga3–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln3 matchesSV Werder Bremen3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.75 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.7 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
43.3% ●Possession3/343%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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