PitchMath
League One · 2026

Burton Albion 2–2 Cambridge United · League One

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Burton Albion and Cambridge United drew 2–2.

Shots
139
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
2.30.84
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burton Albion and Cambridge United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Burton Albion – Cambridge United): shots 13–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 2.3–0.84, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Burton Albion, Cambridge United.

2.8 days ▲Rest daysBurton Albion · Cambridge United3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBurton AlbionCambridge UnitedBaseline
Rest days2.8 days3.8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cambridge United have a visible away split

weak

Cambridge United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Burton Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Burton Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBurton Albion · Cambridge United10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurton AlbionCambridge UnitedBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsBurton Albion 13 shots, Cambridge United 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsBurton Albion 3 shots, Cambridge United 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.84 xGBurton Albion 2.3 xG, Cambridge United 0.84 xG
  • Possession56%44%Burton Albion 56%, Cambridge United 44%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersBurton Albion 2 corners, Cambridge United 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsBurton Albion 11 fouls, Cambridge United 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBurton Albion 1 card, Cambridge United 2 cards
  • Passes396 passes301 passesBurton Albion 396 passes, Cambridge United 301 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.2%66.1%Burton Albion 74.2%, Cambridge United 66.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsBurton Albion 7 shots, Cambridge United 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksBurton Albion 4 blocks, Cambridge United 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves1 saveBurton Albion 0 saves, Cambridge United 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideBurton Albion 0 offsides, Cambridge United 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Dominic BallYellow card · Cambridge United
  2. 19′Finn DelapGoal · Burton Albion
  3. 31′Sulyman KruballyYellow card · Burton Albion
  4. 43′Gassan AhadmeGoal · Cambridge United
  5. Half-time
  6. 65′Gassan AhadmeGoal · Cambridge United
  7. 90′Curtis TiltGoal · Burton Albion
  8. 90′Callum PerryYellow card · Cambridge United
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 56′Cambridge United · 1 player changePelly Ruddock Mpanzu
  • 57′Cambridge United · 1 player changeSullay Kaikai
  • 60′Burton Albion · 1 player changeKain Adom
  • 61′Burton Albion · 1 player changeWill Collar
  • 69′Cambridge United · 1 player changeRaees Bangura-Williams
  • 70′Cambridge United · 1 player changeLouis Appéré
  • 74′Burton Albion · 2 player changesJoe Lewis · Zac Scutt

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Burton Albion3-4-2-1
  1. Corey AddaiG
  2. Jack ArmerD
  3. Toby SibbickD
  4. Kyran LofthouseD
  5. Curtis TiltD
  6. Finn DelapD
  7. Kgagelo ChaukeM
  8. Sulyman KruballyM
  9. Charlie WebsterF
  10. Raphael RodriguesF
  11. Caylan VickersF

Substitutes

  • Kamil Dudek
  • Jason Sraha
  • Joe Lewis
  • Will Collar
  • Mark O'Mahony
  • Kain Adom
  • Zac Scutt
Cambridge United3-4-2-1
  1. Jake EastwoodG
  2. Liam BennettD
  3. Callum PerryD
  4. Kell WattsD
  5. Cathal HeffernanD
  6. Zak BradshawD
  7. Dominic BallM
  8. Owen MoxonM
  9. Isaac HeathF
  10. Ben KnightF
  11. Gassan AhadmeF

Substitutes

  • Gabriel Breeze
  • Sam Curtis
  • Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
  • Raees Bangura-Williams
  • Louis Appéré
  • Sullay Kaikai
  • Shayne Lavery

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Burton Albion
1Draws
1Cambridge United
Burton Albion — Cambridge United · League One2–1
Cambridge United — Burton Albion · League One1–0
Cambridge United — Burton Albion · League One0–0
Burton Albion — Cambridge United · League One2–1
Burton Albion — Cambridge United · League One1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burton Albion favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Cambridge United in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burton Albion5 matchesCambridge United5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.98 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 10.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.8 shots/match
44.8%Possession5/544.8%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.4 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurton AlbionCambridge United
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headBurton Albion — Cambridge United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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