PitchMath
League One · 2026

Reading 3–1 Blackpool · League One

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Reading won 3–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
3.50.51
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Reading beat Blackpool 3–1. Recorded in this match (Reading – Blackpool): shots 19–8, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 3.5–0.51, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Reading show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Reading's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsReading · Blackpool14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReadingBlackpoolBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against8.75 shots/match19.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Reading, Blackpool.

2.79 days ▲Rest daysReading · Blackpool2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReadingBlackpoolBaseline
Rest days2.79 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Blackpool have a visible away split

weak

Blackpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsReading 19 shots, Blackpool 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotReading 6 shots, Blackpool 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.5 xG0.51 xGReading 3.5 xG, Blackpool 0.51 xG
  • Possession33%67%Reading 33%, Blackpool 67%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersReading 6 corners, Blackpool 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsReading 12 fouls, Blackpool 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardReading 0 cards, Blackpool 1 card
  • Passes279 passes586 passesReading 279 passes, Blackpool 586 passes
  • Pass accuracy69.9%81.2%Reading 69.9%, Blackpool 81.2%
  • Shots inside box12 shots5 shotsReading 12 shots, Blackpool 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksReading 5 blocks, Blackpool 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesReading 0 saves, Blackpool 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesReading 4 offsides, Blackpool 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′George EarthyGoal · Reading
  2. 16′Jordan Lee WilliamsYellow card · Blackpool
  3. Half-time
  4. 49′Kyreece LisbieGoal · Reading
  5. 80′Leighton ClarksonGoal · Blackpool
  6. 90′Jacob BrownGoal · Reading
  7. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Blackpool · 2 player changesTom Bloxham · Ilmari Niskanen
  • 68′Blackpool · 1 player changeJordan Brown
  • 70′Reading · 2 player changesJacob Brown · Randell Williams
  • 76′Reading · 1 player changeDaniel Kyerewaa
  • 85′Reading · 2 player changesCharlie Savage · Jamie Reid

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Reading4-2-3-1
  1. Joel PereiraG
  2. Udoka Godwin-MalifeD
  3. Haydon RobertsD
  4. Paudie O’ConnorD
  5. Benn WardD
  6. Andy RinomhotaM
  7. Lewis WingM
  8. George EarthyM
  9. Jack MarriottF
  10. Kyreece LisbieF
  11. Paddy LaneF

Substitutes

  • Jack Stevens
  • Conor Masterson
  • Charlie Savage
  • Daniel Kyerewaa
  • Randell Williams
  • Jamie Reid
  • Jacob Brown
Blackpool4-2-3-1
  1. Bailey Peacock-FarrellG
  2. Oliver CaseyD
  3. Finley MunroeD
  4. Jordan Lee WilliamsD
  5. Josh EarlD
  6. Albie MorganM
  7. Karoy AndersonM
  8. Dion CharlesM
  9. Leighton ClarksonF
  10. Josh BowlerF
  11. Jerry YatesF

Substitutes

  • Luke Southwood
  • Andy Lyons
  • Zachary Ashworth
  • Jordan Brown
  • Ilmari Niskanen
  • Ollie Hunter
  • Tom Bloxham

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Reading
0Draws
3Blackpool
Reading — Blackpool · League One0–1
Blackpool — Reading · League One0–3
Blackpool — Reading · League One3–0
Reading — Blackpool · League One0–3
Reading — Blackpool · League One3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Reading favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Blackpool in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Reading4 matchesBlackpool5 matches
2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/51.8 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/51.4 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/51.84 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots4/514.6 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/55.2 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession4/545.2%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/53.4 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/59.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReadingBlackpool
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headReading — Blackpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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