PitchMath
League One · 2026

Leicester City 0–4 Oxford United · League One

0–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Oxford United won 0–4.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.032.31
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oxford United beat Leicester City 4–0. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Oxford United): shots 14–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.03–2.31, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLeicester City · Oxford United11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityOxford UnitedBaseline
Shots16 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match19.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leicester City, Oxford United.

3.8 days ▲Rest daysLeicester City · Oxford United3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLeicester CityOxford UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.8 days3.8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Oxford United have a visible away split

weak

Oxford United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsLeicester City 14 shots, Oxford United 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsLeicester City 5 shots, Oxford United 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG2.31 xGLeicester City 1.03 xG, Oxford United 2.31 xG
  • Possession63%37%Leicester City 63%, Oxford United 37%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersLeicester City 10 corners, Oxford United 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsLeicester City 11 fouls, Oxford United 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardLeicester City 1 card, Oxford United 1 card
  • Passes521 passes307 passesLeicester City 521 passes, Oxford United 307 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.9%81.4%Leicester City 87.9%, Oxford United 81.4%
  • Shots inside box11 shots7 shotsLeicester City 11 shots, Oxford United 7 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksLeicester City 2 blocks, Oxford United 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesLeicester City 2 saves, Oxford United 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesLeicester City 2 offsides, Oxford United 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Mark HarrisGoal · Oxford United
  2. 34′Kai AndrewsYellow card · Oxford United
  3. Half-time
  4. 49′Emil Riis JacobsenYellow card · Leicester City
  5. 57′Mo MissangaGoal · Oxford United
  6. 60′Mark HarrisGoal · Oxford United
  7. 77′Jamie McDonnellGoal · Oxford United
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Leicester City · 1 player changeKamari Doyle
  • 56′Leicester City · 2 player changesTom Watson · Harry Howell
  • 59′Leicester City · 1 player changeOlabade Aluko
  • 61′Oxford United · 1 player changeLuka Lynch
  • 69′Leicester City · 1 player changeAdmir Bristrić
  • 70′Oxford United · 2 player changesGatlin O'Donkor · Tyler Goodrham
  • 81′Oxford United · 2 player changesJack Currie · Louie Sibley

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Leicester City
  1. Alex McCarthyG
  2. Jayden JosephD
  3. Harry SouttarD
  4. Christian McFarlaneD
  5. Luke ThomasD
  6. Wes BurnsM
  7. Bobby De Cordova-ReidM
  8. Louis PageM
  9. Sammy BraybrookeM
  10. William AlvesM
  11. Emil Riis JacobsenF
Oxford United
  1. Simon EastwoodG
  2. Ciaron BrownD
  3. Michał HelikD
  4. Brodie SpencerD
  5. Peter KiosoD
  6. Kai AndrewsM
  7. Cameron BrannaganM
  8. Jamie McDonnellM
  9. Mark HarrisF
  10. Siriki DembéléF
  11. Mo MissangaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leicester City
1Draws
1Oxford United
Leicester City — Oxford United · Championship1–2
Oxford United — Leicester City · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Oxford United in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City5 matchesOxford United4 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/41.5 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.43 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots5/411.5 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/44.25 shots/match
69.8% ●Possession5/454.3%
6.8 corners/match ●Corners5/44.75 corners/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/416.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLeicester CityOxford United
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headLeicester City — Oxford United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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