PitchMath
League One · 2026

Bradford City 1–2 Cambridge United · League One

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cambridge United won 1–2.

Shots
206
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.380.44
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cambridge United beat Bradford City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bradford City – Cambridge United): shots 20–6, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.38–0.44, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bradford City, Cambridge United.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysBradford City · Cambridge United3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBradford CityCambridge UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cambridge United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cambridge United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBradford City · Cambridge United11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBradford CityCambridge UnitedBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match13 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bradford City have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.8% ●PossessionBradford City · Cambridge United45%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBradford CityCambridge UnitedBaseline
Possession53.8%45%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsBradford City 20 shots, Cambridge United 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsBradford City 5 shots, Cambridge United 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG0.44 xGBradford City 2.38 xG, Cambridge United 0.44 xG
  • Possession65%35%Bradford City 65%, Cambridge United 35%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersBradford City 12 corners, Cambridge United 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsBradford City 10 fouls, Cambridge United 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsBradford City 1 card, Cambridge United 0 cards
  • Passes471 passes273 passesBradford City 471 passes, Cambridge United 273 passes
  • Pass accuracy70.1%58.6%Bradford City 70.1%, Cambridge United 58.6%
  • Shots inside box15 shots4 shotsBradford City 15 shots, Cambridge United 4 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksBradford City 6 blocks, Cambridge United 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves4 savesBradford City 0 saves, Cambridge United 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesBradford City 1 offside, Cambridge United 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. Half-time
  2. 58′Sullay KaikaiGoal · Cambridge United
  3. 76′Bobby PointonGoal · Bradford City
  4. 79′Callum ConnollyYellow card · Bradford City
  5. 88′Ben KnightGoal · Cambridge United
  6. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 62′Cambridge United · 2 player changesPelly Ruddock Mpanzu · Louis Appéré
  • 65′Bradford City · 1 player changeNick Powell
  • 74′Bradford City · 2 player changesKayden Jackson · Will Swan
  • 74′Cambridge United · 1 player changeBen Knight
  • 81′Cambridge United · 1 player changeShayne Lavery

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bradford City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Cambridge United in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bradford City4 matchesCambridge United4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.02 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/411 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.25 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession4/445%
8.5 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBradford CityCambridge United
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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