Bundesliga · 2023

Darmstadt 98 4–2 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Darmstadt 98 won 4–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.431.55
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Darmstadt 98 beat SV Werder Bremen 4–2. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – SV Werder Bremen): shots 14–11, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.43–1.55, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98 have a visible home split

weak

Darmstadt 98's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

weak

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsDarmstadt 98 · SV Werder Bremen14.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98SV Werder BremenBaseline
Fouls13.8 fouls/match14.7 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsDarmstadt 98 14 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsDarmstadt 98 5 shots, SV Werder Bremen 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG1.55 xGDarmstadt 98 2.43 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.55 xG
  • Possession43%57%Darmstadt 98 43%, SV Werder Bremen 57%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersDarmstadt 98 2 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls19 foulsDarmstadt 98 19 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKlaus Gjasula · Darmstadt 98 · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.05 xG · goalRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 25′ · 0.07 xG · goalMiloš Veljković · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 5′ · 0.14 xG · goalChristoph Klarer · Darmstadt 98 · 76′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.19 xG · on targetNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 58′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 76′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 50′ · 0.64 xG · goalMiloš Veljković · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.76 xG · goalTobias Kempe · Darmstadt 98 · 62′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.40 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Matthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 5′Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 25′Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 50′Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt 98 · 62′Olivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 70′Miloš Veljković · SV Werder Bremen · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 2.40 xG · SV Werder Bremen 1.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Darmstadt 98
0Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Darmstadt 98 — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 986 matchesSV Werder Bremen6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.67 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.84 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.17 shots/match
43.7%Possession6/6● 48.2%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/63.33 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/614.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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