PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München drew 2–2.

Shots
611
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.732.36
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – FC Bayern München): shots 6–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.73–2.36, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · FC Bayern München20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match20.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match7.67 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

53%PossessionRB Leipzig · FC Bayern München● 62.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession53%62.7%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots11 shotsRB Leipzig 6 shots, FC Bayern München 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsRB Leipzig 2 shots, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG2.36 xGRB Leipzig 0.73 xG, FC Bayern München 2.36 xG
  • Possession35%65%RB Leipzig 35%, FC Bayern München 65%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerRB Leipzig 5 corners, FC Bayern München 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsRB Leipzig 10 fouls, FC Bayern München 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmil Forsberg · RB Leipzig · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 20′ · 0.14 xG · goalYussuf Poulsen · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCastello Lukeba · RB Leipzig · 26′ · 0.26 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.56 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.57 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 57′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.71 xG. FC Bayern München: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 20′Castello Lukeba · RB Leipzig · 26′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 57′Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 0.71 xG · FC Bayern München 2.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RB Leipzig
1Draws
2FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–3
RB Leipzig — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–1
FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–2
RB Leipzig — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig6 matchesFC Bayern München6 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 3.33 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/61 goal/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.94 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 20.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 8.67 shots/match
53%Possession6/6● 62.7%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.83 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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