1. FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga · 20231. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 0–3.
- Shots
- 10–6
- Shots on target
- 3–3
- Expected goals
- 0.47–1.13
- Possession
- 45%–55%
Full time
What the match recorded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 10–6, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.47–1.13, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
1. FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderate1. FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12 shots/match | 16.7 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match |
| Shots against | 9.5 shots/match | 9.83 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateBayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 48.5% | 58.7% | 48.6% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 9 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
1. FSV Mainz 05 / Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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