PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 0–2 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 0–2.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.742.5
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Köln 2–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – VfB Stuttgart): shots 14–18, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.74–2.5, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Köln's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%Possession1. FC Köln · VfB Stuttgart● 55.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession44.2%55.5%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shots1. FC Köln 14 shots, VfB Stuttgart 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shots1. FC Köln 5 shots, VfB Stuttgart 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG2.5 xG1. FC Köln 0.74 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.5 xG
  • Possession40%60%1. FC Köln 40%, VfB Stuttgart 60%
  • Corners8 corners4 corners1. FC Köln 8 corners, VfB Stuttgart 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 fouls1. FC Köln 16 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 67′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 57′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 82′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 7′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 68′ · 0.29 xG · goalSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 88′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 42′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 88′ · 0.65 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.76 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 68′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 0.76 xG · VfB Stuttgart 2.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Köln
1Draws
2VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga3–0
1. FC Köln — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–0
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Köln — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln6 matchesVfB Stuttgart6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 3.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.06 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.7 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.67 shots/match
44.2%Possession6/6● 55.5%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners6/64.33 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls6/68 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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