PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 2–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 2–1.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.141.39
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat 1. FC Köln 2–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – 1. FC Köln): shots 17–14, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.14–1.39, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

weak

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Köln show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Köln's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · 1. FC Köln12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder Bremen1. FC KölnBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against18.6 shots/match13 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsSV Werder Bremen 17 shots, 1. FC Köln 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsSV Werder Bremen 6 shots, 1. FC Köln 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.39 xGSV Werder Bremen 2.14 xG, 1. FC Köln 1.39 xG
  • Possession48%52%SV Werder Bremen 48%, 1. FC Köln 52%
  • Corners9 corners8 cornersSV Werder Bremen 9 corners, 1. FC Köln 8 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsSV Werder Bremen 18 fouls, 1. FC Köln 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Niklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmos Pieper · SV Werder Bremen · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenno Schmitz · 1. FC Köln · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNaby Keïta · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNaby Keïta · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 31′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDamion Downs · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 31′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 70′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.46 xG · goalRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.53 xG · goalDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 31′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.13 xG. 1. FC Köln: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 38′Justin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 67′Davie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 2.13 xG · 1. FC Köln 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
11. FC Köln
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga7–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen5 matches1. FC Köln5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.08 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4 shots/match
46.4% ●Possession5/545%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.2 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder Bremen1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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