PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.670.53
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 18–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.67–0.53, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.2% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · VfL Wolfsburg47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession62.2%47.8%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · VfL Wolfsburg11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsBorussia Dortmund 18 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBorussia Dortmund 4 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.53 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.67 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.53 xG
  • Possession64%36%Borussia Dortmund 64%, VfL Wolfsburg 36%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 5 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsBorussia Dortmund 9 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSalih Özcan · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 19′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 68′ · 0.29 xG · goalJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.65 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Marco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.65 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga6–0
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–0
Borussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga6–1
VfL Wolfsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund5 matchesVfL Wolfsburg5 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.19 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/511 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
62.2% ●Possession5/547.8%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners5/52.2 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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