PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 2–2.

Shots
2114
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
2.30.75
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 21–14, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 2.3–0.75, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach have a visible home split

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match16.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · 1. FSV Mainz 0512.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbach1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots16.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against18.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots14 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 21 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 14 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 9 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.3 xG0.75 xGBorussia M'gladbach 2.3 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.75 xG
  • Possession60%40%Borussia M'gladbach 60%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 40%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 10 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 9 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edimilson Fernandes · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanny da Costa · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 88′ · 0.01 xG · goalFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 24′ · 0.02 xG · goalBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bell · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAymen Barkok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 75′ · 0.08 xG · goalKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 22′ · 0.14 xG · goalAymen Barkok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 72′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 14′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 53′ · 0.23 xG · on targetKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 79′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 79′ · 0.32 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 21 shots, 9 on target, 2.34 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 14 shots, 7 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Florian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 22′Joe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 88′Brajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 24′Aymen Barkok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 2.34 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia M'gladbach
2Draws
21. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga0–1
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach7 matches1. FSV Mainz 057 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.71 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.97 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.3 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
47.1%Possession7/7● 47.3%
7.14 corners/match ●Corners7/74.14 corners/match
9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/714.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Oct 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbach1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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