PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 4–2 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 4–2.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.631.42
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat 1. FC Union Berlin 4–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 14–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.63–1.42, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.7% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · 1. FC Union Berlin43.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia Dortmund1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Possession60.7%43.4%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsBorussia Dortmund 14 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 7 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG1.42 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.63 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.42 xG
  • Possession67%33%Borussia Dortmund 67%, 1. FC Union Berlin 33%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersBorussia Dortmund 4 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsBorussia Dortmund 7 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 49′ · 0.02 xG · goalLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJérôme Roussillon · 1. FC Union Berlin · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 9′ · 0.03 xG · goalDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 71′ · 0.03 xG · goalKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 5′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 36′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.25 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.33 xG · goalJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.34 xG · goalLeonardo Bonucci · 1. FC Union Berlin · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.68 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Niclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 7′Nico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 49′Julian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 54′Julian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 71′Robin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 9′Leonardo Bonucci · 1. FC Union Berlin · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.68 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
11. FC Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3
Borussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund7 matches1. FC Union Berlin7 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.47 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots7/714.4 shots/match
5.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.43 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession7/743.4%
4.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia Dortmund1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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