Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 1–2 Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Darmstadt 98 won 1–2.

Shots
1817
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.941.8
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Darmstadt 98 beat FC Augsburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Darmstadt 98): shots 18–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.94–1.8, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Darmstadt 98 have a visible away split

weak

Darmstadt 98's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots17 shotsFC Augsburg 18 shots, Darmstadt 98 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 3 shots, Darmstadt 98 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.8 xGFC Augsburg 0.94 xG, Darmstadt 98 1.8 xG
  • Possession47%53%FC Augsburg 47%, Darmstadt 98 53%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 4 corners, Darmstadt 98 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsFC Augsburg 13 fouls, Darmstadt 98 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTim Breithaupt · FC Augsburg · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedClemens Riedel · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIrvin Cardona · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 52′ · 0.02 xG · goalMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFraser Hornby · Darmstadt 98 · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSven Michel · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Breithaupt · FC Augsburg · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIrvin Cardona · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Jensen · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.08 xG · goalElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 32′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 65′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 45′ · 0.25 xG · on targetTobias Kempe · Darmstadt 98 · 33′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedTobias Kempe · Darmstadt 98 · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 18 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG. Darmstadt 98: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 86′Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 52′Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt 98 · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.95 xG · Darmstadt 98 1.84 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg7 matchesDarmstadt 987 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
2.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.71 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.25 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.3 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/73.86 shots/match
44.7%Possession7/7● 45%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.43 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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