PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SC Freiburg 2–0 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 2–0.

Shots
713
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.030.81
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat FC Augsburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg): shots 7–13, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.03–0.81, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.5 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsSC Freiburg 7 shots, FC Augsburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSC Freiburg 3 shots, FC Augsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.81 xGSC Freiburg 1.03 xG, FC Augsburg 0.81 xG
  • Possession53%47%SC Freiburg 53%, FC Augsburg 47%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersSC Freiburg 2 corners, FC Augsburg 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsSC Freiburg 13 fouls, FC Augsburg 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 56′ · 0.10 xG · goalJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 10′ · 0.14 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 5′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG. FC Augsburg: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 5′Philipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.05 xG · FC Augsburg 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4SC Freiburg
0Draws
0FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1
FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–4
FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–2
SC Freiburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg6 matchesFC Augsburg6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.5 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.36 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.5 shots/match
5.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession6/644.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.5 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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