PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 1–3 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 1–3.

Shots
2427
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.742.9
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach beat VfL Bochum 1848 3–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 24–27, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.74–2.9, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Bochum 1848 · Borussia M'gladbach15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848Borussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against17.8 shots/match19.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots27 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 24 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 27 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 5 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG2.9 xGVfL Bochum 1848 1.74 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 2.9 xG
  • Possession58%42%VfL Bochum 1848 58%, Borussia M'gladbach 42%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 5 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 10 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 12 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 57′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 85′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 27′ · 0.12 xG · goalLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Förster · VfL Bochum 1848 · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 3′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 37′ · 0.30 xG · goalFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 50′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 50′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 50′ · 0.32 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 24 shots, 4 on target, 1.77 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 27 shots, 8 on target, 3.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Anthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′Florian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 27′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 37′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 1.77 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 3.18 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 18486 matchesBorussia M'gladbach6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
3.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.76 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots6/615.3 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.17 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession6/645%
4 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.67 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls6/69.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848Borussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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