UEFA Champions League · 2023

FC København 1–2 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.870.88
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat FC København 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC København – FC Bayern München): shots 11–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.87–0.88, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC København have a visible home split

weak

FC København's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC København's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsFC København 11 shots, FC Bayern München 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFC København 4 shots, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.88 xGFC København 0.87 xG, FC Bayern München 0.88 xG
  • Possession42%58%FC København 42%, FC Bayern München 58%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersFC København 2 corners, FC Bayern München 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsFC København 10 fouls, FC Bayern München 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Denis Vavro · FC København · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPeter Ankersen · FC København · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLukas Lerager · FC København · 56′ · 0.05 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.05 xG · goalMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBirger Meling · FC København · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordan Larsson · FC København · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetViktor Claesson · FC København · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRoony Bardghji · FC København · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 4′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJordan Larsson · FC København · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 83′ · 0.20 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC København: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG. FC Bayern München: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lukas Lerager · FC København · 56′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 67′Mathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC København 0.86 xG · FC Bayern München 0.87 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

FC København / FC Bayern München

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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