UEFA Champions League · 2023

Manchester United 2–3 Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 2–3.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.272.56
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Manchester United 3–2. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Galatasaray): shots 16–14, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.27–2.56, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Galatasaray's recent record differs from the season

weak

Galatasaray's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsManchester United 16 shots, Galatasaray 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsManchester United 5 shots, Galatasaray 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG2.56 xGManchester United 2.27 xG, Galatasaray 2.56 xG
  • Possession55%45%Manchester United 55%, Galatasaray 45%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersManchester United 9 corners, Galatasaray 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsManchester United 13 fouls, Galatasaray 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVictor Nelsson · Galatasaray · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSérgio Oliveira · Galatasaray · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTetê · Galatasaray · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaan Ayhan · Galatasaray · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCasemiro · Manchester United · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSofyan Amrabat · Manchester United · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCasemiro · Manchester United · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Zaha · Galatasaray · 23′ · 0.11 xG · goalCasemiro · Manchester United · 62′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSacha Boey · Galatasaray · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 73′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 80′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 44′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 2′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 67′ · 0.36 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 81′ · 0.36 xG · goalKerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 71′ · 0.50 xG · goalRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 17′ · 0.56 xG · goalMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 78′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.29 xG. Galatasaray: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Rasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 17′Rasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 67′Wilfried Zaha · Galatasaray · 23′Kerem Aktürkoğlu · Galatasaray · 71′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 2.29 xG · Galatasaray 2.54 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.1 days

Manchester United / Galatasaray

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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