Premier League · 2023Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Casemiro · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Schlupp · Crystal Palace · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonny van de Beek · Manchester United · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Andersen · Crystal Palace · 25′ · 0.05 xG · goalCasemiro · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Andersen · Crystal Palace · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Schlupp · Crystal Palace · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Varane · Manchester United · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMason Mount · Manchester United · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWill Hughes · Crystal Palace · 63′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarc Guéhi · Crystal Palace · 11′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 57′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJoachim Andersen · Crystal Palace · 80′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.32 xG. Crystal Palace: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Joachim Andersen · Crystal Palace · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.32 xG · Crystal Palace 0.91 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Manchester United
1Draws
1Crystal Palace
Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace · Premier League21
Crystal PalaceManchester United · Premier League11
Crystal PalaceManchester United · Premier League10
Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace · Premier League10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4