Premier League · 2023Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

Burnley

LLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Cullen · Burnley · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamaal Lascelles · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKieran Trippier · Newcastle United · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJamaal Lascelles · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 14′ · 0.06 xG · goalAmeen Al-Dakhil · Burnley · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Burnley · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 27′ · 0.21 xG · on targetZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 4′ · 0.26 xG · on targetElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 35′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 27′ · 0.86 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 20 shots, 7 on target, 3.38 xG. Burnley: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Miguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 14′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 3.38 xG · Burnley 0.66 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Newcastle United
0Draws
0Burnley
BurnleyNewcastle United · Premier League12
Newcastle UnitedBurnley · Premier League10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4