PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 2–0 Burnley · Premier League

2–0Historical match

Burnley

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 2–0.

Shots
208
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
3.180.65
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat Burnley 2–0. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Burnley): shots 20–8, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 3.18–0.65, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

weak

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Burnley show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Burnley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNewcastle United · Burnley10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedBurnleyBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsNewcastle United 20 shots, Burnley 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsNewcastle United 8 shots, Burnley 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.18 xG0.65 xGNewcastle United 3.18 xG, Burnley 0.65 xG
  • Possession53%47%Newcastle United 53%, Burnley 47%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersNewcastle United 5 corners, Burnley 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsNewcastle United 7 fouls, Burnley 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Cullen · Burnley · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamaal Lascelles · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKieran Trippier · Newcastle United · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJamaal Lascelles · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 14′ · 0.06 xG · goalAmeen Al-Dakhil · Burnley · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Burnley · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 27′ · 0.21 xG · on targetZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 4′ · 0.26 xG · on targetElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 35′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 27′ · 0.86 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 20 shots, 7 on target, 3.38 xG. Burnley: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Miguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 14′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 3.38 xG · Burnley 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Newcastle United
0Draws
0Burnley
Burnley — Newcastle United · Premier League1–2
Newcastle United — Burnley · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United7 matchesBurnley6 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/60.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/62.5 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/60.79 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/610.2 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/62.67 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession7/650%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/6● 5.5 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedBurnley
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Burnley
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required